UK Prime Minister Theresa May’s bid to secure a bigger majority with snap elections was shattered last week. As May was looking to preach ‘no deal is better than a big deal’, the nation has now landed a scattered assembly complete with an impending Brexit deal. This could increase May’s woes as she now must incorporate more voices, not all in favor of her moves. Some people have even suggested that she steps down from her position and let someone else take charge.
She Can’t Leave Europe without a Deal
One of May’s biggest promises to the UK citizens was the threat that she could leave Europe without a deal. Now, that promise lays dead as she does not have a strong majority to support her actions. One of her biggest headaches would be 10 MPs from Northern Ireland’s Democratic Unionist Party. She will have to work closely with DUP’s Arlene Foster to make things work. May will lose her authority to negotiate the frictionless border consensus with Northern Ireland. Note that DUP is not in favor of a hard EU border, especially with the Republic of Ireland. The DUP wants a ‘frictionless border’ which makes May’s plans undeliverable. Moreover, without DUP’s support, May will not be able to negotiate anything. Hence, a deal will become necessary.
A Hung Assembly Hangs the Plan for Hard Brexit
As the Commons are more divided than ever, May will have to face pressure from her own Cabinet. She will be under tighter scrutiny from Tories, Labour MPs, and the DUP MPs. Her entire Brexit plan has fallen apart as there will be more voices of dissent, forcing a deal that the PM never wanted. May and David Davis, her Brexit Secretary, have seen their plans in tatters with a new assembly. The Brexit talks will begin in a few days and they will have to formulate a plan and take a quick stand that doesn’t infuriate the Commons.
Theresa May’s Problems Will Not End Soon
Her problems will see no end as the Tories are split between a pro-EU and a pro-hard Brexit group. With a narrow majority, May will have to work with each of the Tories and gain their support before making a move. May is still in power, thanks to the Conservatives in Scotland who won 13 seats in the elections. However, their leader Ruth Davidson also supports an ‘open Brexit’.
Theresa May will have to work with a House of Commons where most MPs want a softer Brexit and closer ties with the EU.